Tag: investing
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Day 441 of 1000: Selling All My Bond Funds
My newly-devised flow allocation model tells me to sell all my bond funds. I wanted to do that anyway; now I have justification.
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Day 439 of 1000: Exploring Tactical Asset Allocation for my IRA
Formulating a plan for managing my IRA account according to tactical allocation rules.
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Day 436 of 1000: Preparing for a Potential Stock Market Correction
My advisor suggested I take a look at buffered ETFs. My research suggests that simpler alternatives might work better as protection against a crash.
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Day 427 of 1000: What if the AI Payoff is Delayed?
Apollo Chief Economist Slok says we haven’t seen any payoff from AI in sectors besides the sellers of AI hardware and services. What the benefits are delayed?
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Day 413 of 1000: Running My Own Capital
Advice from X about living off the PnL of my portfolio. And upcoming risks for the U.S. stock market in the second half of the year.
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Day 409 of 1000: S&P 500 Implied Correlation Falls
S&P 500 index stocks are not moving together. Semiconductors were doing better than hyperscalers recently, echoing a pattern seen right before the dotcom crash.
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Day 352 of 1000: Revisiting the Dot Com Crash
The dot com boom went far further than most people expected, for far longer. What is going to happen with the AI boom?
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Day 324 of 1000: AI Disillusionment Amid Ongoing AI Equity Euphoria
On Twitter, commentators are questioning the fitness of AI for writing and agentic tasks. Meanwhile AI stocks continue to soar.
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Day 318 of 1000: Overexcitability, in cooking and in investing
Dabrowski proposed that intellectual, emotional, and other overexcitabilities can provide fuel for personal development. Applying it to cooking and investing.
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Day 309 of 1000: Inefficient Preparation & Accepting Incompetence in Midlife Reinvention
Ideas from Henry Oliver’s book Second Act about midlife reinvention. On not having goals and objectives and accepting a lack of expertise when you start.
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Day 307 of 1000: My Interests this Week
In Sunday planning, I review the week ahead. In today’s post, I also report on the current state of negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.
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DAy 296 of 1000: Writing about Investing
I’m early in my journey of figuring out who I am as a trader. It’s so idiosyncratic and personal that I don’t want to write about it.
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Day 294 of 1000: The 2022 Analog
In 2022, we faced an energy shock and runaway inflation. In 2026, we face an energy shock and a possible growth slowdown. How they are the same and different.
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Day 291 of 1000: What I Want to Do
It feels almost wrong to be able to spend my days investing and trading. But that’s what I want to do.
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Day 288 of 1000: Time to Be Defensive with Investments
In Mastering the Market Cycle, Howard Marks writes that calibrating between aggressiveness and defensiveness is a key decision for investors.
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Day 287 of 1000: An Alternative to Buy-and-Hold Investing
As the Middle Eastern conflict continues, equity markets around the world are looking weak. What to do instead of holding on as they fall?
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Day 284 of 1000: Expecting Lower Stock Market Returns
There are good reasons to expect that the stock market is not going to just bounce back from the Middle East conflict.
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Day 283 of 1000: Is the Market Too Complacent?
“Widespread risk tolerance… is the greatest harbinger of subsequent market declines,” says Howard Marks. Are investors too comfortable with risk right now?
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Day 281 of 1000: Identifying a Stock Market Top… or bottom
How to identify a stock market top, from William O’Neil’s How to Make Money in Stocks. Also, how to know when to get back in.
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Day 260 of 1000: An Easy Way to Hedge Against Dollar Weakness
Hedge against continued dollar weakness by tilting your portfolio towards international equities and away from U.S.
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Day 246 of 1000: Land of the Rising Sun?
Japan’s new prime minister Sanae Takaichi won a super-majority in the house in yesterday’s snap elections. What does this mean for financial markets?
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Day 245 of 1000: Planning for Valentine’s Day Week
Plans for the week including Valentine’s Day dinner, writing about investing, working on Mechanism paintings, dancing through life.
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Day 242 of 1000: Equity Valuations Fall Slowly When There’s Inflation
A lesson from financial strategist Russell Napier. Equity valuations fall slowly when there’s inflation. Are we facing a period of structurally high inflation?
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Day 231 of 1000: Art and Money
This week, I’ll be working on my kline-inspired Motion Memory paintings as well as the new portfolio dashboard I’m putting together in Google Sheets.
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Day 230 of 1000: Freestyle Investing
Applying the lessons of freewriting to investing, for people who can’t stomach buy-and-hold.
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Day 228 of 1000: 4D Spacetime and Taking the Long View
Musings on four-dimensional spacetime and what it might have to offer as advice for taking the long view.
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Day 226 of 1000: Against Buy-and-Hold Investing
Why I use market timing rules to limit losses in my investment portfolio rather than just doing buy-and-hold.
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DAy 225 of 1000: Investing Moves to Make Now, as the Dollar Declines
Trust in the U.S. is declining, with a consequent decline of the U.S. dollar against other currencies. What investing moves to make now, and why.
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Day 183 of 1000: Investing if there is an AI bubble
What do you do if you believe that U.S. stocks are in a bubble due to AI euphoria? Choose an equal-weight portfolio of global risk assets instead of market weight.
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Day 181 of 1000: Faith, ritual, and money
In which I ponder how to cultivate Page of Pentacles / Princess of Disks energy in my financial life.
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Day 160 of 1000: investing in the Artificial intelligence era
Some Friday morning musings about where to invest for the coming ten years.
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DAy 133 of 1000: Establishing investment discipline
After a monthly portfolio update reflecting on investing discipline and how the next stock market crash might unfold.
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Day 31 of 1000: my monthly portfolio update
Coming up on my monthly portfolio buy/sell day, I’m considering the near-term and long-term macro situation as well as asset charts.